Read This Before You Ever Buy Another Income Fund

My car was totaled last year when another driver’s brakes failed. This story had two silver linings. No one was hurt. And I made money on the accident.

Before I bought that car in early 2008, I hunted around for the best deal. I spent weeks looking at used cars and checking listings on the Internet. Eventually, I bought my car from a used-car wholesaler for well below the book value. When it was totaled, the check from the insurance company was for more than what I had paid for the car — three and a half years later!

Of course, I would still rather have the car. I try to buy my cars like I buy my income securities — for the long haul. But getting both cars and securities at a discount gives you some buffer if the unexpected happens. And specifically in the case of income securities, buying at a discount price translates to securing a premium yield.

This is especially true with closed-end funds. Unlike other securities, closed-end funds don’t trade at their net asset value (NAV). They can trade at a premium or a discount to the price of their underlying assets.

For example, when a fund trades at a 10% discount to its NAV, you are effectively buying a dollar’s worth of assets for just 90 cents. If the portfolio’s assets have an average yield of 5%, the discounted fund will have a yield of 5.6%.

Closed-end funds tend to trade in a range around their historical average premium or discount. Some funds just normally trade at a premium to their NAV. Some funds just normally trade at a discount. But once in awhile, something happens that causes an imbalance in a fund’s normal price-to-NAV equilibrium — and the discount widens, creating a buying opportunity.

For instance, concerns about the slowing global economy — and specifically concerns that commodity-hungry China’s economy could slow — pushed down on commodity prices in the second half of 2011. These concerns caused a drop in demand for the Nuveen Diversified Commodity Fund (AMEX: CFD). As a result, the fund’s price dropped far faster than the price of its underlying assets, pushing the fund to a deep discount of more than 15% at the end of last year. This discount has since narrowed quickly — meaning anyone who bought when the discount was at its height is now sitting on a nice gain.

Of course the reverse can happen. A closed-end fund can start trading at an abnormally high premium. On Jan. 18, the Invesco Value Municipal Income Fund (NYSE: IIM) traded at a 7.4% premium to its NAV — its highest premium in 52 weeks. Soon after, the fund’s price fell.

Few people make a big-ticket purchase like a car or a TV without first checking around for the best price. It may take some time to find a good deal, but generally it is worth the wait. In the specific case of closed-end income funds, it is especially true. Abnormally high discounts are rare, but they do surface. And they are generally worth the wait.

Action to Take –> To check the discount or premium of a fund, you can visit a site like CEFConnect.com and enter the ticker symbol. The site will show you the current discount or premium, and even has a handy chart so you can see how it has fluctuated in the past.

Even if you’re an investor like me, one who consistently reinvests dividends and strives to hold for the long haul, finding entry points at a bargain level gives you the ability to lock in an above-normal yield. And that’s a great foundation to build a position.


– Amy Calistri

Amy Calistri does not personally hold positions in any securities mentioned in this article. StreetAuthority LLC owns shares of CFD, IIM in one or more if its “real money” portfolios.

This article originally appeared on StreetAuthority
Author: Amy Calistri
Read This Before You Ever Buy Another Income Fund

StreetAuthority.com
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Mad Money / Jim Cramer Daily Recap 2/17/12

OnlineTradersForum.com - traders and investors traders sharing ideasSubscribe to the free Mad Money Daily Recap Newsletter. Receive the posting you see below by email. Just click here to add yourself to the list.

Friday’s show was a rerun from December. Below is the recap for Thursday, February 16, the last show with new picks.

Bullish
Apple (AAPL) (discussed)
Caribou Coffee (CBOU) (Lightning Round)
Continental Resources (CLR) (Lightning Round)
Devon Energy (DVN) (discussed)
EOG Resources (EOG) (Lightning Round)
Goldcorp (GG) (CEO interview)
Intel (INTC) (Lightning Round)
Kodiak Oil & Gas (KOG) (Lightning Round)
Magnum Hunter Resources (MHR) (discussed)
MarkWest Energy Partners (MWE) (Lightning Round)
Nike (NKE) (Lightning Round)
SandRidge Energy (SD) (discussed)
Solar Capital (SLRC) (Lightning Round)
SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) (discussed)
Starbucks (SBUX) (Lightning Round)
Texas Instruments (TXN) (Lightning Round)
Yum! Brands (YUM) (CEO interview)

Bearish
HCA Holdings (HCA) (Lightning Round)
Hess (HES) (Lightning Round)
JDS Uniphase (JDSU) (Lightning Round)
Xerox (XRX) (Lightning Round)

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5 Things You need to Know about Buffett’s Latest Moves

Billionaire investor Warren Buffett has a reputation as one of the most successful investors of all time. His feat of growing book value at Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK-B) by 20% annually will likely go down as the longest and most impressive strings of wealth creation in history.

But the run is far from over.

Investors received insight into Buffett’s latest moves with Berkshire’s fourth-quarter 2011 filing, which was just released this week. Below are the five most important things you should know about his latest moves.

1. A fierce loyalty to Wells Fargo
Buffett has steadily increased his stake in banking giant Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) over the years, and Berkshire is now the largest shareholder in the bank. In fact, he has practically bought at any chance he gets, especially since the credit crisis, believing the severe downturn has done little to impair the solid growth potential and earnings power of Wells in the long term.

During the fourth quarter, he added more than 3.9 million shares to his stockpile to bring his total holdings to roughly 383.7 million shares. That works out to about $10.5 billion, or 6.5% of Wells Fargo’s current market capitalization of $160 billion.

In a 2009 interview with CNNMoney, Buffett detailed just what he liked about Wells. He particularly liked that “they get their money cheaper than anybody else.” Because of Wells’ stellar reputation, clients are OK with being paid a lower interest rate on their checking and savings deposits. This means a bigger spread when it earns interest from loaning these funds back to other individuals and businesses. He also pointed out they did less dumb things during the credit crisis, which allowed them to easily survive and acquire archrival Wachovia for pennies on the dollar. Finally, he loves Wells’ earnings power and the fact they consider their bank branches retail stores to make loans, sell credit cards, brokerage services, insurance and just about any other financial service.

2. A huge commitment to DirectTV
Digital television provider DirectTV (NYSE: DTV) is a very new position for Berkshire. It is also one he bought aggressively during the fourth quarter. The stake was valued at nearly $900 million to end the year, a relatively small holding for Berkshire, but the position quadrupled in size from 4.2 million shares to 20.3 million shares. The buy is being attributed to Buffett lieutenant Ted Weschler, who held sizeable stakes in a number of media companies when he ran Peninsula Capital. Berkshire hired Weschler near the end of last year.

DirecTV has grown into a financial powerhouse by simply selling subscription television. Like Buffett with Wells Fargo, customers have grown fiercely loyal to DirectTV. This stems from extremely savvy programming moves, including NFL Sunday Ticket, high definition channels, and on-demand movies that are available sooner than at rivals such as Netflix (Nasdaq: NFLX).

DirecTV has grown sales and profits by about 13% each year for the past decade. With the increased position, Berkshire clearly expects more of the same and is comfortable with it being able to sustain its competitive position.

3. A new stake in a Buffett-like track record
Weschler also likely turned Buffett on to Liberty Media (Nasdaq: LMCA), one of the new positions held during the quarter. Berkshire acquired 1.7 million shares (currently worth about $132.7 million) for an estimated total ownership of 1.5% of the company.

Liberty is controlled by media mogul John Malone, who has a track record that rivals Berkshire in terms of rapid wealth creation over the years. Liberty owns and invests in a wide array of media and entertainment assets, including the Atlanta Braves professional baseball team, SiriusXM radio (Nasdaq: SIRI), concert producer Live Nation (NYSE: LYV)Barnes & Noble (NYSE: BN)Time Warner (NYSE: TWC), andViacom (NYSE: VIA).

Growth hasn’t been as solid at Liberty, but the value of its assets is undeniable. Buffett was likely sold on the low value the market is ascribing to these assets, namely, price-to-cash flow, which is roughly 5.5 and well below the peer average of 7 to 8.

4. Another notable wide-moat purchase

Berkshire established a new 2.7 million share position (worth more than $200 million) in DaVita (NYSE: DVA), which runs dialysis centers across the United States. New manager Todd Combs is believed to be behind the move. Berkshire acquired 2.7 million shares for a stake worth more than $200 million as of quarter end.

Buffett loves economic moats, or businesses that have competitive advantages that rivals are unlikely to surmount. DaVita fits this bill in that it has an estimated market share of 30%. Additionally, patients need dialysis regardless of whether the economy is booming or in recession. In other words, it has great downside protection. Better yet, the business is growing robustly: sales have increased 17% annually in the past five years.

5. Other notable moves
Buffett also acquired additional shares in International Business Machines (NYSE: IBM), which is a relatively new position that he has purchased aggressively. He ended the year with 63.9 million shares at a market value of nearly $12 billion.

He also boosted his stakes in Intel (Nasdaq: INTC), Visa (NYSE: V)CVS Caremark (NYSE: CVS) and General Dynamics (NYSE: GD). Notable sales include the complete liquidation of Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) and lower stakes in Kraft (NYSE: KFT) and Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ).

Action to Take –> If you want the upside of owning the beaten-down financial sector but want a degree of safety from a relatively conservative holding, then Wells Fargo appears to be a very solid way to go. DirecTV continues to prove it is a cash flow powerhouse, and there is little reason to see why it wouldn’t be a good idea to ride Buffett’s coattails on this one. The same goes for the other notable buys of Liberty Media and DaVita. And while Buffett may not have bought these two stocks directly, they were bought by advisors that Warren clearly trusts with access to his empire.

– Ryan Fuhrmann

Ryan Fuhrmann owns shares of IBM, WFC, GD, V.StreetAuthority LLC owns shares of INTC in one or more if its “real money” portfolios.

This article originally appeared on StreetAuthority
Author: Ryan Fuhrmann
5 Things You need to Know about Buffett’s Latest Moves

StreetAuthority.com

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Gilead Sciences (GILD) – Quick Takes Pro Chart of the Day

February 17, 2012 – Gilead Sciences (GILD)

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These 2 Stocks Just Reported HUGE Profit Gains

Since the second quarter of 2009, roughly 60% of companies have managed to deliver quarterly results that exceeded consensus profitforecasts. This has helped underpin a multi-year rally that leaves the major indexes back at levels not seen since early 2008. But signs are emerging that the era of upside surprises may be winding down.

In the most recent quarter, only 55% of companies in the S&P 500 topped profit estimates, the lowest level in nearly two years. Perhaps of greater concern to investors, only 49% of companies topped sales forecasts, down from the 61% average of the previous seven quarters.

Earnings season is still underway, but analysts are already planning for more tepid sales and profit growth in the quarter to come. And this should have investors paying attention.

Analysts at Merrill Lynch, for instance, now say profits for companies in the S&P 500 will rise just 6% this year, well below the double-digit pace seen in 2010 and 2011. This is just a natural phase of the economic cycle, since companies step up spending on growth initiatives, crimping profit margins in the process. Yet even as most companies are likely to simply muddle through 2012, a select group of firms are still pounding out huge profit gains.

Roughly two weeks ago, I profiled a group of companies that handily exceeded consensus forecasts.

The table below shows another group of companies that delivered major upside since then, as each of these firms beat the consensus forecast by at least 30% (with earnings per share (EPS) of at least $0.30). To narrow the list, I focused only on stocks trading for less than 15 times projected 2012 profits.

Airline strength
I’ve written a fair amount about Delta Airlines (NYSE: DAL) in the past six months, but United Continental (NUSE: UAL) holds very similar appeal. Both carriers acquired a large rival, which can often prove very tricky in the airline industry, since disparate fleets of planes and overlapping labor forces need to be reconciled, all while the customer barely notices.

These firms sought to get bigger in hopes of operating more extensive and rational route structures while taking an aggressive whack at the cost structure. In the case of United Continental, you can see how this plan paid off. The two companies joined forces in the middle of 2010, and you can see gains when comparing annual results. Despite markedly higher jet fuel prices in 2011, EBITDA still grew from $2.1 billion in 2010 to $3.4 billion. Were it not for the hike in jet fuel prices, that metric would have risen almost 100%.

The fact this stock trades for less than five times earnings — even after a solid upward move in January — reflects concerns that the industry will soon exit its “Goldilocks” phase. Either fuel prices will rise higher or demand for air travel will weaken, altering the current “not too hot, not too cold” conditions that the airline industry has been experiencing. Analysts say these concerns are overblown and see United Continental’sEPS rising another 20% in 2012 to $6.16, implying a forward multiple below 4. As is the case with Delta, this is a company that continues to be overlooked by value investors — and is worthy of your attention.

BP is back
It’s curious to see this energy giant back on the upswing just a few years after the disastrous oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico. Shares had plunged from almost $60 in early 2010 to below $30 by the middle of June of that year. On June 4, 2010, I wrote that shares would rebound back to $50 when investors eventually came to see that this energy giant would go on to produce $8 billion in annual free cash flow. Shares are indeed back up near $50, but that cash flow forecast needs updating.

BP was able to boost net income sharply in 2011, from a $3.7 billion loss in 2010 to a $25.7 billion profit in 2011. That’s the highest level of net income in the company’s history. Management decided to capitalize on the company’s high level of profits to pour a lot of funds into new energy fields. So my $8 billion free cash flow forecast was far off the mark: BP generated just $237 million in free cash flow in 2011, thanks to a hefty $17.8 billion in capital spending.

The current year figures to bring more of the same. BP intends to spend a whopping $22 billion in 2012 to acquire more acreage and step up production of existing energy fields. “Exploration, particularly in deepwater, has historically been a key strength of BP and now management appears to be decisively playing towards it,” Merrill Lynch notes.

As BP’s investments wind down, free cash flow should finally take off. Analysts at Citigroup predict free cash flow will rebound to $9.5 billion this year and $12.6 billion in 2013. Meanwhile, shares still trade a wide discount to rivals because the Gulf of Mexico-related litigation has still not yet ended. Merrill Lynch analysts figures the “discount remains too wide given the ongoing reduction of uncertainties regarding (the) Macondo (oil well disaster).” They predict shares will likely trade up to $54, which would still leave them at a 20% discount to peers such asExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM) and Total (NYSE: TOT).

Risks to Consider: Though these companies just handily topped quarterly profit forecasts, the bar has been raised. Continued outperformance is no sure thing. Check in on quarterly trends for any stock you are researching from this group to ensure that the profit-boosting factors remain in place.

Action to Take –> Oil prices will have a huge effect on these two companies. Falling prices would push BP’s shares back down, while rising fuel prices would hurt United Continental’s profits. Perhaps it’s wisest to own both of these undervalued stocks in tandem in order to mitigate that fuel price risk.

[Note: If you haven't heard about this unique opportunity, then I want to tell you about it now. StreetAuthority has staked me with $100,000 of real money to invest in my absolute best ideas. For a limited time, you'll be able to follow along with me completely free. Go here to learn more.]


– David Sterman

David Sterman does not personally hold positions in any securities mentioned in this article. StreetAuthority LLC does not hold positions in any securities mentioned in this article.

This article originally appeared on StreetAuthority
Author: David Sterman
These 2 Stocks Just Reported HUGE Profit Gains

StreetAuthority.com

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Free Day Trading eBook – The Complete Guide To Day Trading

For a limited time, Markus Heitkoetter is giving away the electronic version of his bestselling book “The Complete Guide To Day Trading”

It’s 296 pages and full of tips, tricks and practical information that you can use right away in your trading.

Click here to download the eBook now.

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New and updated threads at OnlineTradersForum.com

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This Might Be the Best Income Investment in America

In late 2000, BARRX Medical, a medical-device manufacturing company had a great idea…

As one of the leading companies working to treat Barrett’s disease, a condition known to cause certain types of esophageal cancer, BARRX developed a breakthrough treatment device known as the Haloflex ablation system.

Right out of the gate, the Haloflex system showed promise. The Food and Drup Administration approved it in 2001. And when the time came for the first commercial system to be launched, in January of 2005, the BARRX medical team had already conducted multi-center clinical trials to demonstrate the safety and efficacy of the system on humans.

Everything was going great, and it looked like the company was going to hit a big pay-day for its recent development.

But then BARRX hit a road block… it ran out of money.

To keep the dream alive and the company solvent, BARRX had to resort to taking out loans. But finding a lender is easier said than done.

Major banks won’t do it, they’re still hemorrhaging losses from the latest financial crisis. Going public normally isn’t an option either. The costs and fees associated with the filing alone can be in the millions.

So what’s the answer for cash-strapped small businesses such as BARRX then? It’s simple, business development companies, or BDCs.

BDCs loan money to small private companies. They provide the capital that keeps many of the U.S. roughly 27 million small businesses afloat.

In return for taking the risk, BDCs usually get back interest and — in many cases — an equity stake in the companies they loan to. So if one of the companies in its portfolio gets acquired or goes public, the BDC gets a piece of the action. By law, BDCs must distribute 90% of theirearnings to shareholders. As a result, BDC’s have very rich dividend yields.

As it turns out, providing loans to small private companies makes a great business model

For one, it’s not nearly as risky as it may seem. Yes, BDCs lend money to high-risk start-up companies. But due to government requirements, BDCs look to build a diversified portfolio where no single investment accounts for more than 25% of its total holdings. Typically, a BDC will hold more than 50 different loans or investments spread out over 20 or more different industries.

BDCs are also required to maintain a low amount of leverage. The government prohibits BDCs from acquiring more debt than equity. By law, the highest debt-to-equity ratio allowed is 1:1. For comparison, investment banks are often levered as high as 30:1.

To add to the allure, I think market fundamentals are shaping up for BDCs to have a great year this year. Here’s why…

Banks are getting hammered.

Even though the banking sector has been improving, there were still 844 banks on the FDIC Problem Bank List in the third quarter of 2011, and bank failures remain a weekly occurrence. Banks are still struggling to strengthen their capital and have been less willing or able to lend new money. This means BDCs and other venture capital firms are able to find stronger companies to loan to — companies that would have been able to secure conventional bank credit in the past.

Then there are the yields…

The Federal Reserve intends to keep its interest rates near zero, potentially through 2014. This policy has resulted in record low interest rates on Treasuries. Investors dependent on income aren’t finding much to love about a five-year Treasury yield of 0.7%. As a result, income investors are scrambling for better-yielding securities, increasing the demand for real estate investment trusts (REITs) and BDCs.

Furthermore, I’m expecting the market for IPOs to rebound in the coming year. By the middle of 2011, it was already looking to be a strong year for IPOs. But when European debt worries flared in the summer, market conditions became too risky for most companies to go public. As a result, there is a bit of a backlog of companies poised to go public in 2012.

With more companies going public, BDCs should reap the benefits as their shares of small private companies convert to publically traded stock.

In BARRX’s case, the company didn’t end up going public. But they did receive a buyout offer from Covidien (NYSE: COV) for $325 million. After the sale, the leading BDC funding BARRXs operations had a nice payday.

The business development company loaned BARRX $1.5 million in 2005. After the sale of BARRX is official, the BDC will turn its $1.5 million investment in BARRX into a net gain of about $2.2 million. This represents a total return of 147%.

Action to Take — > Because BDCs are required to return at least 90% of its income in dividends, the bulk of that $2 million dollar windfall will be distributed back to shareholders.

It’s a win-win situation. BARRX received ample capital to continue to financing its breakthrough technology, and the BDC earned a 147% return for its shareholders.

That’s the power of investing in BDCs. Not every company in a BDCs portfolio will be a winner, but when it is, it normally means a big payout for its investors.

[Note: In my February issue of Stock of the Month, I profiled a business development company that currently yields 8.5%. Not only does it already own shares in the some of the most lucrative private companies around, it recently made an offer to buy 307,500 shares of the social media giant Facebook. You can learn about my Stock of the Month advisory, and how I'm earning 21.0% on each of my closed trades, byvisiting this link.]


– Amy Calistri

Amy Calistri does not personally hold positions in any securities mentioned in this article. StreetAuthority LLC does not hold positions in any securities mentioned in this article.

This article originally appeared on StreetAuthority
Author: Amy Calistri
This Might Be the Best Income Investment in America

StreetAuthority.com

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Barchart.com’s Chart of the Day – Genuine Parts (GPC)

The “Chart of the Day” is Genuine Parts (GPC), which showed up on Thursday’s Barchart “All Time High” list. Genuine Parts on Thursday posted a new all-time high of $65.61 and closed up 2.66%. TrendSpotter took a profit on a Long position on Wednesday, but then issued a new Buy signal with Thursday’s rally. Genuine Parts was last featured by “Chart of the Day” on Dec 23 when the stock closed at $61.57. In recent news, Bloomberg on Jan 31 reported that the U.S. vehicle age reached an all-time high and that parts spending rose 9%. Genuine Parts, with a market cap of $10 billion, is a distributor of automotive replacement parts in the U.S., Canada and Mexico.

How we found the Chart of the Day:

We found the “Chart of the Day” by scanning the Barchart “All Time High” list. In order to get to that list, we first clicked on the Stocks menu item on the Barchart home page, then on the “All Time Highs” menu item on the left menu bar. We then sorted the list by percentage gainers by clicking on the “Percent” column title. A stock that has posted a new All-Time high is typically showing strong upside momentum.

The status of Barchart’s Opinion trading systems are listed below. Please note that the Barchart Opinion indicators are updated live during the session every 10 minutes and can therefore change during the day as the market fluctuates. The indicator numbers shown below therefore may not match what you see live on the Barchart.com web site when you read this report.

  • TrendSpotter: Buy
  • Short-Term Indicators: 100% Buy
  • Medium-Term Indicators: 750% Buy
  • Long-Term Indicators: 67% Buy
  • Overall Average 88% Buy

To access recent archived Chart of the Day reports, please go to:
http://www.barchart.com/headlines/se…=BC&series=COD

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Mad Money / Jim Cramer Daily Recap 2/16/12

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Thursday, Cramer said that with the global economy heating up, Goldcorp (GG) remains his favorite gold mining stock.

Bullish
Apple (AAPL) (discussed)
Caribou Coffee (CBOU) (Lightning Round)
Continental Resources (CLR) (Lightning Round)
Devon Energy (DVN) (discussed)
EOG Resources (EOG) (Lightning Round)
Goldcorp (GG) (CEO interview)
Intel (INTC) (Lightning Round)
Kodiak Oil & Gas (KOG) (Lightning Round)
Magnum Hunter Resources (MHR) (discussed)
MarkWest Energy Partners (MWE) (Lightning Round)
Nike (NKE) (Lightning Round)
SandRidge Energy (SD) (discussed)
Solar Capital (SLRC) (Lightning Round)
SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) (discussed)
Starbucks (SBUX) (Lightning Round)
Texas Instruments (TXN) (Lightning Round)
Yum! Brands (YUM) (CEO interview)

Bearish
HCA Holdings (HCA) (Lightning Round)
Hess (HES) (Lightning Round)
JDS Uniphase (JDSU) (Lightning Round)
Xerox (XRX) (Lightning Round)

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