Archive for July, 2007

PortfolioCrafter - Market Commentary 7/31/06

Tuesday, July 31st, 2007

PortfolioCrafterNews of trouble from a mortgage lender pulled the plug on the stock market’s attempted recovery. Concerns about credit markets and bad-
home loans resurfaced with news that American Home Mortgage Investment Corp. might liquidate its assets after failing to meet margin calls. Sub-prime mortgage market worries and record-high oil prices sent stocks tumbling with the Dow industrials falling nearly 150 points.

Today, the Dow Jones industrial average closed down 146.32 or 1.10% to 13,211.99, the broader S&P 500 closed down 18.64 or 1.26% to 1,455.
27, and the tech-fueled Nasdaq Composite index closed down 37.01 or 1.
43% to 2,546.27. For the month, the Dow shed 1.5%, the S&P lost 3.2% while the Nasdaq dropped 2.2%.

Market breadth was negative. Losers beat winners by 9 to 7 on volume of 2.20 billion shares on the New York Stock Exchange. Decliners topped losers by 18 to 11 on volume of 2.77 billion shares on the Nasdaq.

News that American Home Mortgage could no longer fund loans and was considering liquidating its assets sent the markets South. While its own stock lost 89%, this renewed worries about the scope of the recent sub-prime mortgage mess and fanned credit market worries which helped sink stocks last week.
However, encouraging economic news included a tame inflation reading in the June personal spending and income report. Additionally, consumer confidence climbed to its highest level in nearly six years. However, construction spending declined in June, and a report that revealed Midwest business activity grew at a slower-than-expected pace in July.

Shares of GM closed down $0.21 to $32.40, after posting its first profitable quarter in over two years. Its second-quarter earnings were much better than expected as it returned to the black after more than two years of losses. It reported income from continuing operations of $78 million in the quarter, excluding items, its first profit in that key unit since the end of 2004.

Shares of Triac closed down $0.07 to $14.31, after billionaire investor Nelson Peltz said that he would be ready to offer $37 to $41 a share for Wendy’s International which closed up $1.34 to $35.03. He also stated that if Wendy’s did not agree to a confidentiality agreement that he proposed by the end of the day Wednesday, then he would consider other alternatives.
Stock of GlaxoSmithKline closed up $1.65 or 3% to $51.08, after a FDA advisory panel recommended that Glaxo’s best-selling diabetes drug, Avandia, remain on the market despite an analysis showing links to increased risk of heart attack. The FDA panel was convened to discuss the potential risks of Avandia, one of Glaxo’s top sellers with $3 billion in 2006 sales.

Oil prices finished at an all-time, also pressuring stocks. Oil prices finished at an all-time high, climbing $1.38 to $78.21 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

All the best,
Manuel Jesus-Backus
The Portfolio Crafter

Fast Money Recap 7/31/07

Tuesday, July 31st, 2007

OnlineTradersForum.com - Traders and Investors Sharing IdeasStock picks by each of the traders on the latest episode of “Fast Money.” (Fast Money Recaps at Online Traders’ Forum)

Buy
Alexandria Real Estate (ARE) (Najarian)
Alvarian (ALVR) (Najarian)
Apple (AAPL) (Bolling)
Blackstone (BX) (Bolling)
Bristol Myers (BMY) (Najarian)
CBS (CBS) (Bolling)
Cnet (CNET) (Bolling)
Disney (DIS) (”buy dip”) (Macke)
Disney (DIS) (Bolling)
EMC (EMC) (Adami)
Gen-Probe (GPRO) (Najarian)
General Motors (GM) (Adami)
GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) (Adami)
Goldman Sachs (GS) (Najarian)
Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (GMCR) (Najarian)
Mosiac (MOS) (Bolling)
Mosiac (MOS) (Najarian)
Oil Services HOLDRs (OIH) (Bolling)
Starbucks (SBUX) (”buy ahead of earnings”) (Macke)
Starbucks (SBUX) (Bolling)
Starbucks (SBUX) (Najarian)
Sun Microsystems (SUNW) (Macke)
Time Warner (TWX) (Bolling)
Time Warner (TWX) (Najarian)
Under Armour (UA) (Najarian)
Wendy’s (ALVR) (Najarian)
Whole Foods (WFMI) (Macke)

Sell
“Financials” (Bolling)
“Insurers” (Adami)
“REITS (Bolling)
“S&P & Nasdaq futures” (Bolling)
Alcatel Lucent (ALU) (Adami)
Electronic Arts (ERTS) (Macke)
Gymboree (GYMB) (Macke)
IAC/InterActiveCorp (IACI) (Bolling)
Rent-A-Center (RCII) (Adami)
Viacom (VIA.B) (Macke)
Wendy’s (WEN) (Macke)

* Click here and receive a free market forecast using VantagePoint software.
* Click here for 2 free books that teach you how to trade the E-mini’s.
* Click here for free cassette “17 Rules for Successful Futures Trading.”

Mad Money / Jim Cramer Daily Recap 7/30/07

Monday, July 30th, 2007

OnlineTradersForum.com - traders and investors sharing ideasPlease do your own research, and verify all information before acting on it. This summary of Cramer’s picks is not intended to replace watching the shows, where his comments about the stocks often include advice about entry and exit points.

On Monday’s show Cramer listed a diversified portfolio for “Doomsday:”
Celgene (CELG) (Mad Money)
Kellogg (K) (Mad Money)
Schlumberger (SLB) (Mad Money)
Medco Health Solutions (MHS) (Mad Money)
Kimberly-Clark (KMB) (Mad Money)

Buy
Allscripts Healthcare Solutions (MDRX) (Lightning Round)
Amazon.com (AMZN) (Mad Money)
Amgen (AMGN) (Lightning Round)
Amylin Pharmaceuticals (AMLN) (Lightning Round)
Apple (AAPL) (Mad Money)
Boeing (BA) (mentioned on Stop Trading!)
Brookfield Asset Management (BAM) (Mad Money)
Caterpillar (CAT) (Lightning Round)
Celgene (CELG) (Mad Money)
Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) (Lightning Round)
Continental Resources (CLR) (Lightning Round)
Corning (GLW) (mentioned on Stop Trading!)
Google (GOOG) (Lightning Round)
Google (GOOG) (Mad Money)
Honeywell (HON) (mentioned on Stop Trading!)
Johnson Controls (JCI) (”goes to $120″) (Lightning Round)
Kellogg (K) (Mad Money)
Kimberly-Clark (KMB) (Mad Money)
Ladish (LDSH) (Lightning Round)
Level 3 Communications (LVLT) (Lightning Round)
Medco Health Solutions (MHS) (Mad Money)
Reliance Steel (RS) (Lightning Round)
Research In Motion (RIMM) (Mad Money)
Rite Aid (RAD) (Mad Money)
Ryerson (RYI) (Lightning Round)
Schlumberger (SLB) (Mad Money)
Schlumberger (SLB) (mentioned on Stop Trading!)
Sun Microsystems (SUNW) (Lightning Round)
United Technologies (UTX) (mentioned on Stop Trading!)
Woodward Governor (WGOV) (Lightning Round)
XTO Energy (XTO) (Lightning Round)

Sell
ValueClick’s (VCLK) (”bottom at $18″) (Mad Money)
Whirlpool (WHR) (Lightning Round)

* Click here and receive a free market forecast using VantagePoint software.
* Click here for 2 free books that teach you how to trade the E-mini’s.
* Click here for free cassette “17 Rules for Successful Futures Trading.”

Fast Money Recap 7/30/07

Monday, July 30th, 2007

OnlineTradersForum.com - Traders and Investors Sharing IdeasStock picks by each of the traders on the latest episode of “Fast Money.” (Fast Money Recaps at Online Traders’ Forum)

Buy
Allied Waste (AW) (Najarian)
Bank of America (BAC)(Adami)
Boeing (BA)(Adami)
Broadcom (BRCM) (Najarian)
Cameco (CCJ) (Bolling)
Chevron (CVX) (Najarian)
China Mobile (CHL) (Najarian)
China Unicom (CHU) (Najarian)
ConocoPhillips (COP) (Najarian)
Corrections Corp (CXW) (Bolling)
CurrencyShares Euro Trust (FXE) (Bolling)
Cypress Semiconductor (CY) (Najarian)
Ericsson (ERIC) (Najarian)
Exxon Mobil (XOM) (Najarian)
Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) (Adami)
Honeywell (HON) (Macke)
Intel (INTC) (Macke)
iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index (FXI) (Bolling)
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index (EEM) (Bolling)
JA Solar Holdings (JASO) (Najarian)
MasterCard (MA) (Adami)
MEMC Electronics (WFR) (Najarian)
Nordstrom (JWN) (Macke)
Nvidia (NVDA) (Adami)
Nvidia (NVDA) (Najarian)
Oil Services HOLDRs (OIH) (Bolling)
Pacific Gas and Electric (PCG) (Macke)
Qualcomm (QCOM) (Najarian)
Republic Services (RSG) (Adami)
Republic Services (RSG) (Najarian)
Sun Microsystems (SUNW) (Adami)
Sun Microsystems (SUNW) (Macke)
Sun Microsystems (SUNW) (Najarian)
Sun Power (SPWR) (Najarian)
TD Ameritrade (AMTD) (Adami)
TD Ameritrade (AMTD) (Najarian)
Under Armour (UA) (Najarian)
United Technologies (UTX) (Adami)
United Technologies (UTX) (Najarian)
USEC (USU) (Bolling)
ValueClick (VCLK) (Najarian)
Vodafone (VOD) (Najarian)
Whole Foods (WFMI) (Bolling)

Sell
“Financials”(Bolling)
RadioShack (RSH) (Bolling)
RadioShack (RSH) (Macke)
Wendy’s (WEN) (Macke)
Whole Foods (WFMI) (Macke)

* Click here and receive a free market forecast using VantagePoint software.
* Click here for 2 free books that teach you how to trade the E-mini’s.
* Click here for free cassette “17 Rules for Successful Futures Trading.”

PortfolioCrafter - Market Commentary 7/30/06

Monday, July 30th, 2007

PortfolioCrafterStocks closed with solid gains after investors brushed aside worries about tightening credit and focused on corporate profit prospects. All major gauges finished higher, helped by cooling credit markets fears and a bit of deal making on Wall Street.

Today, the Dow Jones industrial average closed up 92.84 or 0.70% to 13,358.31, the broader S&P 500 closed up 14.96 or 1.03% to 1,473.91, and the Nasdaq composite index closed up 21.04 or 0.82% to 2,583.28.

Market breadth was positive. Winners beat losers by 2 to 1 on the New York Stock Exchange on volume of 2.03 billion shares. Advancers topped decliners by 17 to 13 on volume of 2.33 billion shares.

Stocks moved higher after Wall Street’s recent fears about the housing and credit markets subsided. A number of brokerage firms and strategists reached the conclusion that the problems in the credit market do not imply that the economy and earnings are going to go into a tailspin. Investors have worried that tougher conditions in credit markets could raise the cost of borrowing for companies, hurting corporate earnings and slow the buyout boom, which has helped prop up stock prices.

Shares of Ingersoll-Rand closed up $3.63 to $51.77, on news that it may sell its Bobcat unit for $4.9 billion to a South Korean firm Doosan Infracore. Shares in Doosan, formerly known as Daewoo Heavy Industries & Machinery, surged 14.9%, as this move will nearly double its sales and make it the world’s seventh largest construction equipment maker.

Stock of Verizon Communications closed down $0.49 to $41.51, on announcing that it would buy Rural Cellular for $757 million. Stock of Rural cellular closed up $10.95 or 34% to $42.76.

Shares of Sun Microsystems closed down $0.03 to $4.89, despite reporting better than expected earnings. Net income was $329 million, compared with a year-earlier net loss of $301 million. Revenue rose to $3.84 billion from $3.83 billion, while operating expenses fell to $1.49 billion from $1.97 billion.

Shares of Dow Jones closed down $2.89 or 6% to $51.56, after News Corp stated that it may no longer proceed with the $5 billion bid if does not receive more support from the Bancroft family, which holds a controlling stake in the company. The Bancroft family, which controls more than 64% of Dow Jones’s voting shares, is expected to decide by the end of Monday whether to support the Murdoch bid.

Stock of American Home Mortgage Investment tumbled in pre-market trade and did not resume trading Monday after it announced that its banks are demanding it put more cash after writing down the value its loan and security portfolios significantly. The company recently commanded a roughly 2.5% share of the U.S. mortgage market.

U.S. light crude for September easing 22 cents at $76.80 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

All the best,
Manuel Jesus-Backus
The Portfolio Crafter

Mad Money / Jim Cramer Daily Recap 7/27/07

Friday, July 27th, 2007

OnlineTradersForum.com - traders and investors sharing ideasPlease do your own research, and verify all information before acting on it. This summary of Cramer’s picks is not intended to replace watching the shows, where his comments about the stocks often include advice about entry and exit points.

Cramer listed eight “trustworthy” stocks to buy during the market downturn:
PepsiCo (PEP) (Mad Money)
Kellogg (K) (Mad Money)
Nova Chemicals (NCX) (Mad Money)
Schering-Plough (SGP) (Mad Money)
Celgene (CELG) (Mad Money)
EMC (EMC) (Mad Money)
Boeing (BA) (”should go to $120″) (Mad Money)
Lockheed Martin (LMT) (”should go to $120″) (Mad Money)

Buy
Adobe (ADBE) (Mad Money)
Boeing (BA) (”should go to $120″) (Mad Money)
Caterpillar (CAT) (Lightning Round)
Celgene (CELG) (Mad Money)
EMC (EMC) (Mad Money)
Exxon Mobil (XOM) (mentioned on Stop Trading!)
Kellogg (K) (Mad Money)
Lockheed Martin (LMT) (”should go to $120″) (Mad Money)
Macy’s (M) (Lightning Round)
Nova Chemicals (NCX) (Mad Money)
PepsiCo (PEP) (Mad Money)
Schering-Plough (SGP) (Mad Money)
Schlumberger (SLB) (Mad Money)
Sears Holdings (SHLD) (Lightning Round)
Toyota Motor (TM) (Lightning Round)
Transocean (RIG) (Mad Money)
Woodward Governor (WGOV) (Lightning Round)

Sell
Alcoa (AA) (Lightning Round)
Manitowoc (MTW) (”buy under $70″) (Lightning Round)

* Click here and receive a free market forecast using VantagePoint software.
* Click here for 2 free books that teach you how to trade the E-mini’s.
* Click here for free cassette “17 Rules for Successful Futures Trading.”

Fast Money Recap 7/27/07

Friday, July 27th, 2007

OnlineTradersForum.com - Traders and Investors Sharing IdeasStock picks by each of the traders on the latest episode of “Fast Money.” (Fast Money Recaps at Online Traders’ Forum)

Buy
“Technology” (Najarian)
“Technology” (Stacey Gilbert)
Agnico-Eagle Mines (AEM) (Stacey Gilbert)
Boeing (BA) (Najarian)
Dell (DELL) (Adami)
Disney (DIS) (Adami)
Disney (DIS) (Macke)
Eli Lilly (LLY) (Najarian)
Ford (F) (Adami)
GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) (Najarian)
Goldcorp (GG) (Stacey Gilbert)
Goldman Sachs (GS) (Adami)
Goldman Sachs (GS) (Najarian)
Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) (Adami)
Intel (INTC) (Stacey Gilbert)
Merck (MRK) (Najarian)
Morgan Stanley (MS) (Najarian)
Nasdaq Stock Market (NDAQ) (Najarian)
Nvidia (NVDA) (Adami)
Randgold Resources (GOLD) (Stacey Gilbert)
Starwood Hotels (HOT) (Stacey Gilbert)
United Technologies (UTX) (Najarian)

Sell
“Dow” (Adami)
“Energy” (Macke)
“Energy” (Stacey Gilbert)
“Financials” (Macke)
“Financials” (Stacey Gilbert)
“S&P 500″ (Stacey Gilbert)
Amazon.com (AMZN) (Macke)
Foot Locker (FL) (Najarian)

* Click here and receive a free market forecast using VantagePoint software.
* Click here for 2 free books that teach you how to trade the E-mini’s.
* Click here for free cassette “17 Rules for Successful Futures Trading.”

PortfolioCrafter - Market Commentary 7/27/06

Friday, July 27th, 2007

PortfolioCrafterStocks accelerated their losses, capping the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s worst week in more than four years, as ongoing worries about deal-financing overshadowed largely positive economic data. Stocks tumbled for the second straight session amid continued worries about credit markets and a surge in oil prices.

Today, the Dow Jones industrial average closed down 208.10 or 1.54% to 13,265.47, the broader S&P 500 closed down 23.71 or 1.60% to 1,458.95, and the0 tech-fueled Nasdaq composite index closed down 37.10 or 1.43% to 2,562.24. For the week, the Dow lost 4.2%, the S&P sank 5%, and the Nasdaq declined 4.6%.

Market breadth was negative as losers beat winners by 2 to 1 on the New York Stock Exchange on volume of 2.2 billion shares. Decliners topped advancers on the Nasdaq by nearly 11 to 5 on volume of 2.7 billion shares.

Investors continue to worry about the corporate bond market, and it appears that fear is worse than reality. Credit market fears and more troubling news from the housing sector have sent stocks tumbling. The Treasury Secretary Paulson said in an interview that the U.S. economy is the strongest he has seen in several decades, helped by growth outside the U.S. Additionally, the Commerce Department reported that economy grew at 3.4% in the second quarter, and a key inflation reading came in tamer than expected.

Shares of Cadbury closed up $0.42 to $48.86, on delaying the sale of its North American beverage unit, which produces Dr. Pepper and Snapple, citing recent turmoil in the debt market. This auction may be delayed by a matter of weeks but they still expect the business to fetch $14.4-15.4 billion.

Shares of Chevron closed down $1.90 to $85.61, despite reporting improved earnings. Its net income in the second quarter increased to $5.38 billion, from $4.35 billion last year.

Stock of Amgen closed down $0.35 to $55.81, after reporting better than expected earnings. The company had an EPS of $1.12, beating analysts’ estimates of $1.07. Overall, Amgen saw a net profit of $1.02 billion, compared with $14 million a year ago. Its revenue increased 3% to $3.7 billion, up from $3.6 billion a year ago.

Shares of Gap closed up $0.92 or 5% to $17.83, after it named Glenn Murphy as its chairman and CEO. Murphy has more than 20 years of experience in retail, and is expected to start next week.

U.S. crude for September soared to finish up $2.07 to $77.02 on the New York Mercantile Exchange, moving within striking distance of its all-time record high of $78.40 hit last July.

All the best,
Manuel Jesus-Backus
The Portfolio Crafter

Mad Money / Jim Cramer Daily Recap 7/26/07

Thursday, July 26th, 2007

OnlineTradersForum.com - traders and investors sharing ideasPlease do your own research, and verify all information before acting on it. This summary of Cramer’s picks is not intended to replace watching the shows, where his comments about the stocks often include advice about entry and exit points.

Cramer said, on Thursday’s show, that there are too many people looking to buy to declare a bottom yet.

Buy
Anadigics (ANAD) (Lightning Round)
Applied Materials (AMAT) (Lightning Round)
Bears Stearns (BSC) (Sell Block on Mad Money)
Blackstones (BX) (Sell Block on Mad Money)
Boeing (BA) (Mad Money)
Bunge (BG) (mentioned on Stop Trading!)
Celgene (CELG) (Mad Money)
Cisco (CSCO) (Lightning Round)
Cisco (CSCO) (Mad Money)
Clorox (CLX) (Mad Money)
Countrywide Financial (CFC) (Sell Block on Mad Money)
Dell (DELL) (Lightning Round)
Dell (DELL) (Mad Money)
Foundry Networks (FDRY) (Lightning Round)
Genzyme (GENZ) (Mad Money)
Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) (Lightning Round)
Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) (Mad Money)
Hoku Scientific (HOKU) (”go back up from $6 or $7″) (Mad Money)
Kellogg (K) (Mad Money)
Kimberly-Clark (KMB) (Mad Money)
Monsanto (MON) (Mad Money)
Pepsi (PEP) (mentioned on Stop Trading!)
PepsiCo (PEP) (Mad Money)
Pride International (PDE) (Lightning Round)
Riverbed Technology (RVBD) (Lightning Round)
Schering-Plough (SGP) (Lightning Round)
Schlumberger (SLB) (Mad Money)
Sycamore Networks (SCMR) (Mad Money)

Sell
American Software (AMSWA) (Lightning Round)
Bear Stearns (BSC) (Lightning Round)
Bear Stearns (BSC) (mentioned on Stop Trading!)
Cumulus Media (CMLS) (Lightning Round)
IHOP (IHP) (Lightning Round)
Immersion (IMMR) (Lightning Round)
Intel (INTC) (Lightning Round)
JPMorgan (JPM) (mentioned on Stop Trading!)
Lehman (LEH) (mentioned on Stop Trading!)
Peabody Energy (BTU) (Lightning Round)
Pfizer (PFE) (Lightning Round)

* Click here and receive a free market forecast using VantagePoint software.
* Click here for 2 free books that teach you how to trade the E-mini’s.
* Click here for free cassette “17 Rules for Successful Futures Trading.”

Fast Money Recap 7/26/07

Thursday, July 26th, 2007

OnlineTradersForum.com - Traders and Investors Sharing IdeasStock picks by each of the traders on the latest episode of “Fast Money.” (Fast Money Recaps at Online Traders’ Forum)

Buy
“Drillers” (Bolling)
“Nasdaq” (”1950 support, 1850 major support”) (Bolling)
“Nasdaq” (Najarian)
“S&P 500″ (”1465 support, 1380 major support”) (Bolling)
American Express (AXP) (Adami)
Apple (AAPL) (Najarian)
Clorox (CLX) (Macke)
Costco (COST) (Macke)
Crocs (CRX) (Najarian)
Dell (DELL) (Adami)
Ford (F) (Adami)
Goldman Sachs (GS) (Adami)
Goldman Sachs (GS) (Bolling)
Goldman Sachs (GS) (Macke)
Goldman Sachs (GS) (Najarian)
iShares Dow Jones Select Dividend Index (DVY) (Bolling)
Kraft Foods (KFT) (Bolling)
Kraft Foods (KFT) (Macke)
Kraft Foods (KFT) (Najarian)
Myriad Genetics (MYGN) (Najarian)
Nucor (NUE) (”wait for dip”) (Adami)
Nvdia (NVDA) (Adami)
PowerShares Intl Dividend Achievers (PID) (Bolling)
Proctor & Gamble (PG) (Macke)
Target (TGT) (Macke)
Target (TGT) (Najarian)
US Steel (X) (”wait for dip”) (Adami)

Sell
“Energy” (Adami)
“Energy” (Bolling)
“Homebuilders” (Bolling)
“Refiners” (Bolling)
Dillards (DDS) (Macke)
Ford (F) (Bolling)
JP Morgan (JPM) (Adami)
Wendy’s (WEN) (Macke)

* Click here and receive a free market forecast using VantagePoint software.
* Click here for 2 free books that teach you how to trade the E-mini’s.
* Click here for free cassette “17 Rules for Successful Futures Trading.”