PortfolioCrafter - Market Commentary 5/18/06
Friday, May 18th, 2007
Stocks rallied and sent the Dow Jones Industrial Average to a record high and the broad S&P 500 index near its all-time high, thanks to a flurry of deals. A flurry of deals, including a Microsoft Corp. acquisition and a potential divestiture by General Electric Co., boosted interest for blue chips, along with upgrades of Intel Corp. and Verizon Corp.
Today, the Dow closed up 79.81 or 0.59% to 13,556.53, the broader S&P 500 index closed up 10.00 or 0.66% to 1,522.75, just a few points shy of its al time high from March 2000. The tech-fueled Nasdaq composite closed up 19.07 or 0.75% to 2,558.45. For the week, the Dow closed up 1.7%, the S&P gained 1.1%, and the Nasdaq lost 0.2%.
Market breadth was positive. On the New York Stock Exchange, winners beat losers by 5 to 3 on volume of 1.6 billion shares. On the Nasdaq, advancers topped decliners by nearly 9 to 5 on volume of 2.1 billion shares.
Since the major gauges are touching records, there has been some nervousness that stocks could be in for a big pullback. However, as each day goes by, the backdrop remains positive and valuations are still historically low. There have been concerns raised about economic growth, in that some economists expect U.S. growth to be revised down to 0.7% for the first quarter from 1.3% previously. But the continuation of the M&A and private equity deals have been keeping the market going and it appears that we are going to see a continuation of the market moving methodically higher.
On the economic front, the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index rose to 88.7, as a favorable job outlook and a booming stock market muted the impact of record high gasoline prices. Moreover, rising gasoline prices did not intensify consumers’ inflation fears, as some analysts had predicted.
Shares of General Electric closed up $0.60 or 1.6% to $37.13, on a report that its selling its plastics business for about $11 billion. Riyadh-based chemicals company Saudi Basic Industries is in the lead to buy the business. GE placed the Plastics unit on the block in January, after 2006 profit at the unit fell 22% to $674 million as the rising price of raw material benzene took a toll on margins.
Shares of Microsoft closed down $0.21 to $30.77, after it stated that it was buying online ad agency aQuantive, whose shares closed up $27.91 or 77% to $63.78. The deal is for $6 billion, an 85% premium over Thursday’s price. Analysts felt the company was paying a high premium for the ad firm. Microsoft said the deal was important, because many online services that the company is offering, from software to video games, become more dependent upon online advertising revenue.
U.S. light crude oil for June delivery rose 8 cents to $64.94 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It early rose above $65 a barrel amid expectations of strong demand for gasoline ahead of the summer driving season and continued tensions in Nigeria.
All the best,
Manuel Jesus-Backus
The Portfolio Crafter