Archive for December, 2006

Mad Money / Jim Cramer Daily Recap 12/21/06

Friday, December 22nd, 2006

CramersMadMoney.comPlease do your own research, and verify all information before acting on it. This summary of Cramer’s picks is not intended to replace watching the shows, where his comments about the stocks often include advice about entry and exit points.

Bullish
Bank of America (BAC) (Lightning Round)
Barclays (BCS) (”nice yield”) (Lightning Round)
BHP Billiton (BHP) (Lightning Round)
Brinker International (EAT) (”limited downside) (CEO guest on Mad Money)
Caterpillar (CAT) (”back up the truck”) (Lightning Round)
Coldwater Creek (CWTR) (Lightning Round)
Companhia Vale do Rio Doce (RIO) (Lightning Round)
Gmarket (GMKT) (”schnitzel”) (Mad Money)
Honeywell (HON) (”going to $50″) (Lightning Round)
Jones Soda (JSDA) (”2 or 3 years from top”) (Mad Money)
Rio Tinto (RTP) (Lightning Round)
Riverbed Technology (RVBD) (”it’s a keeper”) (Mad Money)
Terex (TEX) (Lightning Round)
Time Warner (TWX) (”going to $28 or $30″) (Lightning Round)
XTO Energy (XTO) (Lightning Round)

Bearish
Activision (ATVI) (Mad Money)
Aventine Renewable Energy (AVR) (”train wreck”) (Lightning Round)
Federated Department Stores (FD) (Mad Money)
HealthSouth (HLS) (Mad Money)
Nuance Communications (NUAN) (Mad Money)
Southern Copper (PCU) (mentioned on Stop Trading!)

PortfolioCrafter - Market Commentary 12/21/06

Thursday, December 21st, 2006

PortfolioCrafterStocks closed lower as investors reacted to a weaker than expected regional manufacturing survey and a downward revision of third quarter economic growth, which offset positive momentum from deal making by Raytheon Co. and Glaxo Smithkline Plc. The weakness can be attributed to a combination of economic weakness combined with the malaise befalling the market as we approach the holidays.

Today, the Dow Jones industrial average closed down 42.62 or 0.34% to 12,421.25, the broader S&P 500 index closed down 5.23 or 0.37% to 1,418.3, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite index closed down 11.76 or 0.48% to 2,415.85.

Market breadth was negative. On the New York Stock Exchange, losers beat winners by a margin of 19 to 13 on volume of 1.4 billion shares. On the Nasdaq, decliners topped advancers by a margin of 16 to 13 as 1.9 billion shares changed hands.

The markets turned lower as the Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank’s monthly survey posted a big decline in December. The index fell to a negative 4.3, versus forecasts for a positive 4.0 reading. This brought investors’ attention back to the health of the economy. This is indicative that regional readings may also show a slow growth.

On the economic front, the Commerce Department said the GDP grew at a slower pace in the third quarter than previously estimated. The GDP grew at an annual 2% pace in the third quarter, down from the earlier estimate of 2.2%. This too provided a mixed backdrop for stocks. The Labor Department said initial jobless claims rose to 315,000 last week, exactly as predicted. The index of leading economic indicators inched up 0.1% to 138.2 in November, also meeting expectations on Wall Street.

Shares of Best Buy closed up $0.78 or 2% to $49.14, after Credit Suisse raised its rating on the electronics retailer to “outperform” from “neutral.” On the other hand stock of Jabil Circuit closed down $2.32 or 9% to $24.24, after issuing a disappointing sales outlook for the current period.

Shares of Bed Bath & Beyond closed down $1.44 or 4% to $38.49, as it disappointed investors with its quarterly earnings report. The home goods retailer reported a higher quarterly profit, but the results fell short of forecasts.

Ohio-based regional bank Huntington Bancshares announced that it had agreed to buy another Ohio-based regional bank, Sky Financial Group for $3.6 billion. Shares of Sky Financial closed up $3.45 or 14% to $27.74.

Shares of General Mills Inc. gained 1.6%. to close at $58.95. The company posted a 4% rise in second-quarter income, to $385 million from $370 million a year ago. Sales for the quarter rose 5.3% to $3.47 billion, while worldwide unit volume expanded 3%.

In M&A news, Raytheon has agreed to sell its aircraft-making unit to Canada’s Onex and Goldman Sachs for $3.3 billion. Raytheon also will buy back $750 million in stock. And Britain’s GlaxoSmithKline said it will buy Praecis Pharmaceuticals for $54.8 million.

U.S. light crude oil for February delivery sank $1.06 to settle at $62.66 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

All the best,
Manuel Jesus-Backus
The Portfolio Crafter
30-day risk-free trial

Mad Money / Jim Cramer Daily Recap 12/20/06

Thursday, December 21st, 2006

CramersMadMoney.comPlease do your own research, and verify all information before acting on it. This summary of Cramer’s picks is not intended to replace watching the shows, where his comments about the stocks often include advice about entry and exit points.

Bullish
America Movil (AMX) (Mad Money)
Apple (AAPL) (Mad Money)
BellSouth (BLS) (Mad Money)
Best Buy (BBY) (Lightning Round)
Cisco (CSCO) (Lightning Round)
Conceptus (CPTS) (Lightning Round)
Core Labs (CLB) (mentioned on Stop Trading!)
Crystallex (KRY) (Mad Money)
Devon (DVN) (mentioned on Stop Trading!)
Devon Energy (DVN) (Lightning Round)
Duke Energy (DUK) (mentioned on Stop Trading!)
Foster Wheeler (FWLT) (Lightning Round)
Goldman Sachs (GS) (Mad Money)
Homex Development (HXM) (Mad Money)
J.C. Penney (JCP) (Lightning Round)
KBR (KBR) (Lightning Round)
NYSE (NYX) (Mad Money)
Quest Diagnostics (DGX) (Lightning Round)
Sears (SHLD) (Lightning Round)
SunTrust (STI) (Mad Money)
Syneron Medical (ELOS) (”will go much higher”) (Mad Money)
Toyota Motor (TM) (Mad Money)
Transocean (RIG) (Mad Money)
Ultra Petroleum (UPL) (mentioned on Stop Trading!)
UnitedHealth (UNH) (Lightning Round)

Bearish
Accredited Home Lenders (LEND) (mentioned on Stop Trading!)
Arena Resources (ARD) (Lightning Round)
Bio-Reference Laboratories (BRLI) (Lightning Round)
Brightpoint (CELL) (Lightning Round)
Circuit City (CC) (Lightning Round)
Coventry Health Care (CVH) (Lightning Round)
CPFL Energia (CPL) (Lightning Round)
DivX (DIVX) (Mad Money)
Dollar General (DG) (Lightning Round)
Family Dollar (FDO) (Lightning Round)
Georgia Gulf (GGC) (Lightning Round)
Lam Research (LRCX) (Lightning Round)
Motorola (MOT) (Lightning Round)
Nokia (NOK) (Lightning Round)
O2Micro International (OIIM) (Lightning Round)
SanDisk (SNDK) (”wait till January”) (Lightning Round)
Trump Entertainment (TRMP) (”won’t move until summer”) (Mad Money)
UAL (UAUA) (Lightning Round)
Wal-Mart (WMT) (Lightning Round)
Yahoo! (YHOO) (Mad Money)

PortfolioCrafter - Market Commentary 12/20/06

Wednesday, December 20th, 2006

PortfolioCrafterStocks pared earlier gains to close lower as a sell-off in natural gas reversed the early positive momentum from a flurry of merger news. The drop in oil brought down the entire energy sector, weighing on the broader market and leaving the averages mostly unchanged on the day.

Today, the Dow Jones Industrial average closed down 7.45 or 0.06% to 12,463.87, after scaling a new record trading high of 12,498.47. The broader S&P 500 index closed down 2.02 or 0.14% to 1,423.53, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite index closed down 1.94 or 0.08% to 2,427.61.

Market breadth was mixed. On the New York Stock Exchange, advancers beat decliners by a margin of nearly 2 to 1 on volume of 1.4 billion shares. On the Nasdaq, losers topped winners by a margin of 16 to 13 as 1.8 billion shares changed hands.

Major overseas indexes rebounded after the Thai government lifted the controls on foreign stock investments that roiled global markets yesterday. It is evident that investors don’t want to get spontaneous at this time of the year and at this point, there’s not really a lot that can derail the market until the start of the new year. Tomorrow, investors will be on the lookout for the final reading of GDP growth in the third quarter. Additionally, the Philadelphia Fed’s survey that measures regional manufacturing activity, weekly jobless claims and leading economic indicators will also be available.

Shares of FedEx closed down $2.15 or 2% to $111.85, after it warned about results for the current period. While it reported an 8% gain in second quarter income, investors were more focused on the fact that the shipper cut its third-quarter outlook. Second-quarter net income rose 8% to $511 million, from $471 million in the year earlier. Its total revenue rose 10% reaching $8.93 billion from $8.09 billion.

Shares of Swedish telecommunications equipment provider Ericsson fell 0.1% after news it agreed to buy Redback Networks for $2.1 billion. Shares of Redback closed up $4.49 or 21% to $25.66. Redback makes “edge” routers that connect computers to the Internet and allow operators to simultaneously deliver broadband, television and telephone services over networks using standard Internet infrastructure. This technology is essential to carriers that want to offer increasingly popular “triple-play” communications services.

Stock of Harrah Entertainment closed up $0.37 to $82.69, after it agreed to be bought for $17.1 billion by private investors Apollo Management and Texas Pacific Group. The deal is for $90 a share in cash, along with the assumption of $10.7 billion in debt and is valued at $27.8 billion. The $90 a share price represents a 36% premium to its Sept. 29 closing price, the day before an initial offer of $81 a share was made.

Steel giant Arcelor Mittal gained 1% to $42.12 after news it is buying Mexico’s Sicartsa from Grupo Villacero for $1.44 billion. This will continue the steel-industry consolidation trend that started when Mittal Steel bought Arcelor. It has also agreed to a 50-50 joint venture to distribute and trade its long products in Mexico and the southwestern U.S. Sicartsa already shares a production site with Mittal Steel Lazaro Cardenas, and combining the two companies will help drive estimated annual synergies of $130 million.

Shares of Palm fell 0.9% after posting a sharp drop in earnings, which was expected, but disappointed with its forecast for the current quarter. For the quarter, the company reported earnings of $12.8 million, against the $260.9 million last year. Revenue for the quarter fell to $392.9 million from $444.6 million.

Shares of Dell Inc. fell 1.4% after the company said it selected Donald Carty, the head of its audit committee and a close friend of founder Michael Dell, to be its new CFO and straighten out the firm’s accounting mess. The move comes as the company copes with investigations into its bookkeeping, corporate stumbles and a faltering stock price.

U.S. light crude oil for February delivery rose 26 cents to settle at $63.72 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange after a weekly report on fuel inventories showed a dip in crude stocks.

All the best,
Manuel Jesus-Backus
The Portfolio Crafter
30-day risk-free trial

Mad Money / Jim Cramer Daily Recap 12/19/06

Wednesday, December 20th, 2006

CramersMadMoney.comPlease do your own research, and verify all information before acting on it. This summary of Cramer’s picks is not intended to replace watching the shows, where his comments about the stocks often include advice about entry and exit points.

Bullish
Adobe Systems (ADBE) (Mad Money)
Allegheny Technologies (ATI) (”too cheap”) (Lightning Round)
BEA Systems (BEAS) (Lightning Round)
Cemex (CX) (”two thumbs up”) (Lightning Round)
Chevron (CVX) (Lightning Round)
Cisco (CSCO) (Lightning Round)
Devon Energy (DVN) (Lightning Round)
Exxon Mobil (XOM) (Lightning Round)
InnerWorkings (INWK) (wait 48 hours) (Mad Money)
NightHawk Radiology (NHWK) (CEO interview on Mad Money) (Mad Money)
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) (Lightning Round)
Toyota (TM) (mentioned on Stop Trading!)
VeriFone (PAY) (Mad Money)

Bearish
Allied Waste (AW) (Lightning Round)
Ciena (CIEN) (Lightning Round)
JDSU (JDSU) (Lightning Round)
Smith & Wesson (SWHC) (Lightning Round)

PortfolioCrafter - Market Commentary 12/19/06

Tuesday, December 19th, 2006

PortfolioCrafterStocks finished mixed with the Dow Jones Industrial Average at a new record close, as higher crude oil prices lifted energy stocks, offsetting earlier weakness sparked by a surprise rise in producer prices and disappointing results from Oracle Corp. The turmoil in Thailand did not affect the markets.

Today, the Dow closed up 30.05 or 0.24% to 12,471.32, to post its 21st record close since October. It also scaled a new intraday high of 12,491.91 during the session. The broader S&P 500 index closed up 3.07 or 0.22% to 1,425.55, and the tech-fueled Nasdaq composite closed down 6.02 or 0.25% to 2,429.55.

Market breadth was mixed. On the New York Stock Exchange, advancers beat decliners by a margin of nearly 17 to 15 on volume of 1.56 billion shares. On the Nasdaq, losers topped winners by a margin of 16 to 13 as 1.99 billion shares changed hands.

Stocks slid at the open after an inflation report and steep sell-off in Thailand raised jitters. The Thai central bank has unveiled plans to impose capital controls on foreign investors, in an effort to curb the rise of its currency. However, by midday, those worries eased and the positive tone that has underpinned the stock market’s recent rally returned. The Producer Price Index rose sharply to 2% in November, posting its biggest gain since 1974. This report came on the heels of a report last week that showed prices paid by consumers remained in check last month. The stronger than expected rise is a disappointment for folks expecting the Federal Reserve to cut rates in early 2007.

Shares of Circuit City Stores Inc. closed down $3.75 or 16% to $19.01, after it posted a quarterly loss and said its holiday sales were hurt by fierce price competition from Wal-Mart. The loss was wider than analysts’ estimates, due to price cuts, and scaled back sales projections.

Shares of Oracle closed down $0.81 or 14% to $17.10, despite reporting earnings in line with expectations. It reported a net income of $967 million, or and EPS of 18 cents against the 22 cents expected by analyst. Investors were disappointed that its sales of new software licenses rose less than expected.

Shares of Morgan Stanley closed up 2% after the company posted strong earnings and said it would spin off its Discovery credit card unit. The investment bank reported a 10% decline in net income for the fourth quarter, but profit still managed to outpace analysts’ expectations. Its net income slipped to $2.21 billion from $2.47 billion a year ago. The consolidated net revenue for the latest quarter was $8.63 billion versus $6.96 billion a year ago.

Stock of Pfizer Inc. closed up 1.4%, after the board raised its dividend and said elected CEO Jeffrey Kindler would serve as chairman. It raised its dividend from 24 cents to 29 cents per share, a 21% hike.

U.S. crude light crude oil for January delivery soared 94 cents to settle at $63.15 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

All the best,
Manuel Jesus-Backus
The Portfolio Crafter
30-day risk-free trial

Mad Money / Jim Cramer Daily Recap 12/18/06

Tuesday, December 19th, 2006

CramersMadMoney.comPlease do your own research, and verify all information before acting on it. This summary of Cramer’s picks is not intended to replace watching the shows, where his comments about the stocks often include advice about entry and exit points.

Bullish
ABB (ABB) ($20 target) (Lightning Round)
Apple (AAPL) (Lightning Round)
Baker Hughes (BHI) (Mad Money)
Best Buy (BBY) (Mad Money)
Chesapeake Energy (CHK) ($34 target) (Lightning Round)
Cisco (CSCO) ($30 target) (Lightning Round)
Coldwater Creek (CWTR) (mentioned on Stop Trading!)
Eagle Materials (EXP) (Lightning Round)
Gmarket (GMKT) (after lockup ends Wednesday) (Mad Money)
Goldman Sachs (GS) (Lightning Round)
Grey Wolf (GW) (Lightning Round)
Halliburton (HAL) (buy on Thursday) (mentioned on Stop Trading!)
Halliburton (HAL) (Lightning Round)
Halliburton (HAL) (Mad Money)
Marvell Technology (MRVL) (”buy buy buy”) (Lightning Round)
Melco PBL (MPEL) (IPO) (buy up to $25, sell at $40) (Mad Money)
Mueller Water Products (MWA) (”dirt cheap”) (Lightning Round)
Omniture (OMTR) (after Dec. 26 lockup ends) (Mad Money)
Under Armour (UA) (mentioned on Stop Trading!)

Bearish
Allis-Chalmers Energy (ALY) (Lightning Round)
Morgan Stanley (MS) (Lightning Round)
PeopleSupport (PSPT) (Lightning Round)
Southern Copper (PCU) (Lightning Round)

PortfolioCrafter - Market Commentary 12/18/06

Tuesday, December 19th, 2006

PortfolioCrafterStocks closed lower as investors took profit on recent gains, notably in technology shares, offsetting the boost from an upgrade of Citigroup Inc. and more merger news, including two leveraged buyouts. A slide in crude oil prices also weighed on energy shares and capped gains for the broader market.

Today, the Dow closed down 4.25 or 0.03% to 12,441.27, the broader S&P 500 index closed down 4.61 or 0.32% to 1,422.48, the tech-fueled Nasdaq composite closed down 21.63 or 0.88% to 2,435.57.

Market breadth was mixed. On the New York Stock Exchange, winners beat losers by 21 to 11 on volume of 1.5 billion shares. On the Nasdaq, advancers barely edged decliners by 20 to 9 on 1.9 billion shares changed hands.

Profit taking of the market’s strong gains recently and concerns about holiday sales coming in weak contributed to the downside today. The traditional “Santa Claus” rally was missing. However, the market has already been moving higher without much interruption for the past six months, and there is no reason for gains not to continue until the end of the year. While economic data has been showing conflicting signals of both strength and weakness, the fact that we’re holding onto the strong gains means investors are confident. In economic news, the Commerce Department said the U.S. current account deficit widened to $225.6 billion in the third quarter.

Shares of financial services giant Citigroup closed up $1.37 or 2.5% to $55.44, on an upgrade. Merrill Lynch upgraded the stock to a buy from a neutral, with the broker citing the stock’s attractive valuation and saying it has greater confidence the bank will achieve its 2007 earnings target.

Harrah’s Entertainment reportedly is on the verge of being sold to two private-equity firms for at least $90 a share. The stock closed up $2.80 or 3% to $82.30, in what would be one of the largest private deals in history. Apollo Management and Texas Pacific Group are set to win an auction to acquire the gambling giant, beating out an offer from Penn National Gaming Inc. The deal could be valued at more than $16 billion. Penn reportedly offered about $87 a share. Harrah had a revenue of more than $7 billion last year and a current market capitalization of nearly $15 billion. It owns 39 casinos in the U.S., including some gems of the Las Vegas Strip such as Caesars Palace and Paris.

Shares of Realogy closed up $4.91 or 19% to $30.41, after it said that private equity firm Apollo Group would buy it for about $6.65 billion. The firm, whose brands include the Coldwell Banker and Century 21 franchises, will receive $30 per share, or an 18% premium over Friday’s close.

Stock of Biomet Inc. closed down $0.47 or 1% to $41.53, after it said it will be bought by a group of private equity firms for about $10.9 billion. The group that includes Blackstone Group, Goldman Sachs Capital Partners and Kohlberg Kravis Roberts. Additionally, it also said it would be delaying its fiscal second quarter earnings report “due to developments related to the review of historical stock option practices. The bid is 27% over its closing price on April 3, the day before market speculation arose that the company had retained Morgan Stanley to assist it in “exploring strategic alternatives.” However, it is only a couple of dollars above Friday’s close of $42 a share.

U.S. light crude oil for January delivery sank $1.22 to settle at $62.21 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

All the best,
Manuel Jesus-Backus
The Portfolio Crafter
30-day risk-free trial

Mad Money / Jim Cramer Daily Recap 12/15/06

Friday, December 15th, 2006

CramersMadMoney.comPlease do your own research, and verify all information before acting on it. This summary of Cramer’s picks is not intended to replace watching the shows, where his comments about the stocks often include advice about entry and exit points.

Friday’s show was a repeat of the show that first aired on May 15, 2006.

Top Ten Best-of-Breed Retailers:

Best Buy (BBY)
Coldwater Creek (CWTR)
Commerce Bancorp (CBH)
Costco (COST)
Federated Department Stores (FD)
JC Penney (JCP)
Lowe’s (LOW)
Men’s Wearhouse (MW)
Sears (SHLD)
Starbucks (SBUX)

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PortfolioCrafter - Market Commentary 12/15/06

Friday, December 15th, 2006

PortfolioCrafterStocks closed higher for the day and the week as the Dow Jones Industrial Average set another record high close, after hopes of a Goldilocks economy and an interest rate cut in 2007 were revived by an unchanged reading on consumer inflation. The mild read on consumer prices have furthered bets that inflation is easing.

Today, the Dow closed up 28.76 or 0.23% to 12,445.52, ending at a record high for the 20th time since October. The broader S&P 500 closed up 1.6 or 0.11% to 1,427.09, and the tech-fueled Nasdaq closed up 3.35 or 0.14% to 2,457.2. For the week, the Dow Jones industrials gained 1.1%, the S&P 500 advanced 1.2% and the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.8%.

Market breadth was narrowly negative. On the New York Stock Exchange, losers edged winners 17 to 15 on volume of 2.105 billion shares. On the Nasdaq, decliners barely edged out advancers 15 to 14 on volume of 2.375 billion shares.

Stocks have rallied this week thanks to a spate of economic news that has supported hopes that growth is slowing at a moderate pace, and that inflationary pressures are waning. Friday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) supported these hopes. Unless the economy starts to show dramatically slower growth, even slower than in the third quarter, there’s good reason to remain optimistic in the longer term.

Both overall consumer prices and core prices were unchanged in November, while economists thought both would rise 0.2%. This supports the Fed comment that the slowing economy should take the edge off pricing pressure. With core CPI “behaving well” for two months in a row, the inflation picture may actually be a little better than had been thought. Additionally, industrial production showed a surprise rise of 0.2% in November, versus economists’ bets for an unchanged reading. Capacity utilization held steady, missing forecasts for a slight rise.

Shares of Apple Computer Inc. closed down 0.9% at $87.77 after saying it was unable to file its Form 10-K by the required filing date of December 14 and that the company will need to restate its historical financial statements to include charges for past stock option grants.

Stock of Adobe Systems closed up $1.99 or 5% to $42.80, after the software maker reported higher quarterly earnings and revenue. Its quarterly profit rose 16% after its acquisition of Macromedia helped boost sales of its computer programs used for design and document sharing. Its fourth-quarter net income rose to $181.9 million, from $156.3 million a year earlier. Revenue rose to $682.2 million, from $510.4 million in the year-earlier quarter. It said it is targeting revenue growth of about 15% for 2007 and an operating margin of 25 to 27% for the year.

Shares of Dell closed down $0.37 to $26.50, after declaring that it will delay filing its third-quarter financial report because of ongoing investigations into its finances. The SEC, the U.S. attorney for the Southern District of New York and the company’s audit committee have raised questions about Dell’s financial reporting. The company also has not yet filed second-quarter earnings with the SEC.

Stock of Ford Motor Co. closed down 0.4% to $7.08, after news of its first management reshuffling under new CEO Alan Mulally. The company will expand the role of its head of product development in the Americas to include the rest of the world. Derrick Kuzak will be in charge of global product development as it seeks to integrate its international operations and streamline the design and creation of new car models.

U.S. light crude oil for January delivery gained 92 cents to $63.43 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

All the best,
Manuel Jesus-Backus
The Portfolio Crafter
30-day risk-free trial