PortfolioCrafter - Market Commentary 4/21/06
Sunday, April 23rd, 2006
Stocks ended mixed today but higher on the week after the Federal Reserve raised hopes of an end to interest-rate hikes, and the first-quarter earnings season got off to good start with strong results from companies such as Google Inc, Yahoo Inc, United Technologies Corp and 3M Co. However, broader market ended lower as crude prices spiked above $75 a barrel taking the fuel out of the Nasdaq and S&P on worries about higher energy costs for companies and consumers.
Today, the Dow Jones industrial average closed up 7.68 to 11,350.57. The index is within sight of its all time high of 11,722.98. The broader Standard & Poor’s 500 closed down 0.08 to 1,311.38, and the Nasdaq composite index closed down 19.63 or 0.8% to 2,342.92. For the week, the Dow gained 1.9%, the S&P gained 1.7% and the Nasdaq gained 0.7%.
Market breadth was mixed. On the New York Stock Exchange, winners edged out losers by 17 to 15 on volume of 1.6 billion shares. On the Nasdaq, decliners beat out advancers three to two on volume of 2.3 billion shares.
Optimism that earnings have been good and the economy remains strong, can also lead to the Feds having a reason to raise rates. The concern is also that oil is at a all time high. The longer it remains at this price, the more it will erode away some of the growth not only in the economy, but also in corporate profits.
Shares of 3M Co. rose to a one-year high after the industrial and consumer-products maker lifted its 2006 profit and sales outlook after posting forecast-beating quarterly results. The stock closed up $2.56 or 3% to $85.16. The company has reported strength in its business all around. Other Dow gainers included Alcoa that closed up $0.65 to $35.42, and Exxon Mobil that closed up $1.03 to $64.95. Shares of Google zoomed up $22.40 to $437.40, on reporting first-quarter sales and earnings that topped estimates. Many brokerage firms upgraded the stock and raised their earnings targets for the company.
Shares of Merck down $0.33 or 1% to $34.67, after a jury in a Texas border town found the drug maker liable in the death of a former Vioxx patient. McDonald’s Corp. also dropped 48 cents to $34.60, after posting first-quarter earnings in line with analyst expectations. Shares of Ford Motor Co. fell 7.9% to $7.32 after the carmaker posted a loss of more than $1 billion amid a sales decline and a turnaround plan that will cost the company up to 30,000 jobs in the coming years. Rival General Motors also closed down $0.88 or 4% to $21.76.
Shares of Dell Inc. fell to a near a three-year low, down 4.4% down $1.26 to $26.98, after Citigroup downgraded the computer maker two notches to sell from buy, on the belief that a weak growth outlook for its U.S. PC business and end-market deceleration increases the probability of a “margin reset.” The stock price target has also been reduced to $28 from $37.
U.S. light crude oil for June delivery rose $1.48 to $75.17 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange after rising as high as $75.35, a new record for a front-month contract. This was a positive for oil stocks, which surged and took the Amex Oil index up 32.58 or 2.5% to 1,185.24.
All the best,
Manuel Jesus-Backus
The Portfolio Crafter
