Archive for September, 2005

Cramer’s Mad Money Daily Recap 9/30/05

Friday, September 30th, 2005

CramersMadMoney.comWe have done our best to record Jim Cramer’s calls on his Mad Money CNBC show for you, but remember that Cramer often bangs on the sell! sell! sell!, bull roar, train wreck, suicide jump, hallelujah chorus, backing up truck, machine gun, fanfare, all aboard, applause, cash register, bear growl, bowling pins, and submarine diving alarm buttons all at once, while he is screaming.

Please do your own research, and verify all information before acting on it.

Bullish
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)
Allscripts Healthcare Solutions (MDRX)
American Express (AXP)
Apple Computer (AAPL)
Bill Barrett (BBG)
Cendant (CD)
Chesapeake Energy (CHK)
Ciena (CIEN)
Claire’s Stores (CLE)
EnCana (ECA)
EOG Resources (EOG)
Ericsson (ERICY)
GameStop (GME)
Georgia-Pacific (GP)
Halliburton (HAL)
HDFC Bank (HDB)
Hewlett-Packard (HPQ)
Hoku Scientific (HOKU)
Hornbeck Offshore Services (HOS)
Icici Bank (IBN)
JDSU (JDSU)
Lennar (LEN)
Lexar Media (LEXR)
Lions Gate Entertainment (LGF)
Motorola (MOT)
Newfield Exploration (NFX)
Plum Creek Timber (PCL)
PPG Industries (PPG)
Procter & Gamble (PG)
Rediff.com (REDF)
SanDisk (SNDK)
Southwestern Energy (SWN)
Southwestern Energy (SWN).
Syneron Medical (ELOS)
Tekelec (TKLC)
Toyota Motor ™
Transocean (RIG)
United Therapeutics (UTHR)
UnitedHealth Group (UNH)
Warren Resources (WRES)
WellCare Health Plans (WCG)
Weyerhaeuser (WY)

Bearish
Best Buy (BBY)
Boyd Gaming (BYD)
Brocade Communications Systems (BRCDE)
Circuit City Stores (CC)
Dell (DELL)
Exxon Mobil (XOM)
Harrah’s Entertainment (HET)
IMAX (IMAX)
Nokia (NOK)
Radio Shack (RSH)
Service Corporation International (SCI)
StoneMor Partners (STON)
Verizon Communications (VZ)

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PortfolioCrafter - Market Commentary 9/30/05

Friday, September 30th, 2005

PortfolioCrafterToday, the Dow industrials closed up 15.92 points at 10,568.70, the Standard & Poor’s 500 closed up 1.13 points at 1,228.81 and the Nasdaq Composite Index closed up 10.47 points or 0.5% at 2,151.69. This reflects an upward performance for all three indices for the quarter. Dow up 0.8% for the month and up 2.9% from the second quarter, the S&P 500 Index up 0.7% for the month and up 3.2% for the third quarter, and the Nasdaq closing for a small 0.1% loss for the month but a 4.6% gain for the quarter.

On the other hand, our Model Portfolio closed with a 3.26% gain for this month and a not-so-shabby 15.9% gain for the quarter. Considering this was not an easy quarter because of the increased the market volatility, we are expecting much larger gains in the fourth quarter.

Despite disappointing economic reports, decline in personal spending and high oil prices; the stocks bounced back on a mix of end-of-quarter portfolio reshuffling, and an easing of the anxiety about the hurricane’s impact on the economy.

Today the market breadth was positive. On the New York Stock Exchange, winners topped losers by more than 20 to 12 on volume of 1.54 billion shares. On the Nasdaq, advancers beat decliners by nearly 17 to 12 on volume of 1.65 billion shares.

It was a day of technology with Micron Technology gaining $1.11 or 9.1% to $13.30 on reported strong quarterly results, National Semiconductor closing up $0.67 or 2.6% to $26.20 on news of higher dividend. The Philadelphia Semiconductor index closed up 8.96 or almost 2% to 475.32.

Other gainers included Procter & Gamble up $1.32 or 2.3% to $59.46 on news of approval of its purchase of Gillette which also closed up $1.99 to $58.20, Liberty Global ended up $1.48 or 5.8% to $27.09 on news of its intention to buy Cablecom Holdings AG. Boeing gained 1% to $67.95 on news of acceptance of the deal with its unionists to end the strike.

Amongst decliners, oil stocks fell with Exxon Mobil losing $1.26 or nearly 2% to $63.54, and Amex Oil closed down 14.71 or 1.4% to 1,076.31.

Stock of Kimberly-Clark Corp. was downgraded from ‘Buy’ to ‘Hold’. This led the stock to lose 31 cents to $59.53. Similar downgradation affected shares of Capital One Financial Corp. that slipped 1% to close at $79.52.

Amongst economic news, the revised consumer sentiment index from the University of Michigan dropped to 76.9 in September from 89.1 in August, Personal income fell 0.1 percent in August after climbing 0.3 percent in July; Personal spending declined 0.5 percent in the month after growing 0.1 percent in the previous month. The drop in personal income is the highest since January, the drop is consumer spending is the highest since November 2001. Many economist opine that the devastation brought on by recent hurricanes, and the record-high energy prices have hit the consumer and will slow the economy

U.S. light crude oil for November delivery retreated 55 cents to settle at $66.24 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. This is a step down of 4.6% for September. Natural-gas futures ended 1.9% lower at $13.921 per million BTU. Natural-gas futures tallied an 80% gain for the quarter, while crude prices climbed almost 13%.

All the best,
Manuel Jesus-Backus
The Portfolio Crafter

Cramer’s Mad Money Daily Recap 9/29/05

Thursday, September 29th, 2005

CramersMadMoney.comWe have done our best to record Jim Cramer’s calls on his Mad Money CNBC show for you, but remember that Cramer often bangs on the sell! sell! sell!, bull roar, train wreck, suicide jump, hallelujah chorus, backing up truck, machine gun, fanfare, all aboard, applause, cash register, bear growl, bowling pins, and submarine diving alarm buttons all at once, while he is screaming.

Please do your own research, and verify all information before acting on it.

Bullish
Allstate (ALL)
Altria (MO)
Amerada Hess (AHC)
American Eagle Outfitters (AEOS).
Anglo American (AAUK)
BHP Billiton (BHP)
Capstone Turbine (CPST)
Chesapeake Energy (CHK)
Chesapeake Energy (CHK)
CVS (CVS)
EnCana (ECA)
FMC Technologies (FTI)
GameStop (GME)
Goldman Sachs (GS)
Honeywell (HON)
Kohl’s (KSS)
LeapFrog Enterprises (LF)
Lowe’s (LOW)
LSI Logic (LSI)
Lucent Technologies (LU)
McCormick & Schmick’s Seafood Restaurant (MSSR)
McDermott (MDR)
Micron (MU)
Nabors Industries (NBR)
Nike (NKE)
Norsk Hydro (NHY)
PepsiCo (PEP)
Phelps Dodge (PD)
PPL (PPL)
Respironics (RESP)
Rio Tinto (RTP)
Ruth’s Chris Steak House (RUTH)
SanDisk (SNDK)
Sirius Satellite Radio (SIRI)
St. Joe (JOE)
Sunoco (SUN)
Union Pacific (UNP)
United Technologies (UTX)
Valero (VLO)
Weatherford International (WFT)
XM Satellite Radio (XMSR)
Yahoo! (YHOO)

Bearish
Home Depot (HD)
Anheuser-Busch (BUD)
Corning (GLW)
Cree (CREE)
Delphi (DPH)
Harvest Natural Resources (HNR)
JetBlue Airways (JBLU)
Krispy Kreme Doughnuts (KKD)
Lone Star Steakhouse & Saloon (STAR)
Montpelier Re Holdings (MRH)
Nam Tai Electronics (NTE)
Nortel Networks (NT)
Outback Steakhouse (OSI)
Research In Motion (RIMM)
ScanSoft (SSFT)

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PortfolioCrafter - Market Commentary 9/29/05

Thursday, September 29th, 2005

PortfolioCrafterToday investors overcame worries about record-high energy prices and focused on late-quarter portfolio additions. Bargain hunting after two down weeks fired up a broad based rally and the stocks firmed up.

The Dow Jones industrial average closed up 79.69 or almost 0.8% to 10,552.78, the broader Standard & Poor’s 500 ended up 10.79 or around 0.9% to 1,227.68, and the Nasdaq composite firmed up 25.82 or 1.2% to 2,141.22. Today was the fourth straight session of gains for the Dow, the fifth consecutive positive finish for the S&P and the biggest one-day gain in nearly three months for the Nasdaq.

Market breadth was positive. Volume was more than 1.62 billion shares on the New York Stock Exchange, where rising shares outnumbered losers by 22 to 9. On the Nasdaq, advancers topped decliners 19 to 11 on volume of 1.83 billion shares. The rally was broad based with a variety of sectors participating. Gains in tech, financials and homebuilding were the most prominent. Around 25 out of 30 Dow stocks gained on the session.

PepsiCo advanced 2.6% to close at $56.50 on news of beating its revenue and profit targets for the third quarter. Red Hat too closed up $4.93 to $21.44, on reported higher quarterly earnings and revenue that beat estimates.

The Nasdaq rally was led by Intel which shot up $0.53 to $24.48. This boosted the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index up 7.10 or 1.6% to 466.36. eBay closed up $2.34 to $41.27, and Yahoo ended up $1.08 to $33.43.

In Buy out news, General Electric Co closed up 16 cents at $33.65. GE is likely to buy IDX Systems Corp. E-Trade Financial Corp. shot up 5.4% to $17.22, after announcing it will buy Brown Co. from J.P. Morgan Chase for $1.6 billion in cash.

Decliners today included Guidant Corp. that fell almost 3% to $68.17. Stock of Research in Motion closed down $7.45 or 9% to $69.80 despite improved quarterly earnings.

Amongst prominent news of the day was the confirmation of John Roberts as U.S. chief justice and the guilty plea by the top Executives of the Bayou Group for orchestrating a $450 million fraud. The hedge fund shop has hurt a handful of big investors including some funds that invest in hedge funds on behalf of clients.

U.S. light crude Oil for November delivery rose 44 cents to settle at $66.79 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Natural gas for November delivery rose 10 cents to $14.20 per million BTU.

All the best,
Manuel Jesus-Backus
The Portfolio Crafter

Cramer’s Mad Money Daily Recap 9/28/05

Wednesday, September 28th, 2005

CramersMadMoney.comWe have done our best to record Jim Cramer’s calls on his Mad Money CNBC show for you, but remember that Cramer often bangs on the sell! sell! sell!, bull roar, train wreck, suicide jump, hallelujah chorus, backing up truck, cash register, bear growl, bowling pins, and submarine diving alarm buttons all at once, while he is screaming.

Please do your own research, and verify all information before acting on it.

Bullish
Apple Computer (AAPL)
Amgen (AMGN)
Archer Daniels Midland (ADM)
Broadcom (BRCM)
Burlington Resources (BR)
Central European Equity Fund (CEE)
Cerner (CERN)
Chesapeake Energy (CHK)
Energy Partners (EPL)
Ensco International (ESV)
Genentech (DNA)
Grey Wolf (GW)
India Fund (IFN)
MetLife (MET)
Nabors Industries (NBR)
National Oilwell Varco (NOV)
Occidental Petroleum (OXY)
Oceaneering International (OII)
PNM Resources (PNM)
Qualcomm (QCOM)
Rowan (RDC)
Sepracor (SEPR)
Terex (TEX)
Todco (THE)
Toyota Motor ™
UnitedHealth Group (UNH)
Vintage Petroleum (VPI)
Wal-Mart (WMT)
Yellow Roadway (YELL)

Bearish
Alcoa (AA)
Allied Capital (ALD)
Alvarion (ALVR)
Audible (ADBL)
Bunge (BG)
Chiron (CHIR)
Deere (DE)
Dolby Laboratories (DLB)
Emcore (EMKR)
Fannie Mae (FNM)
Forest Laboratories (FRX)
Forest Laboratories (FRX),
Lifeway Foods (LWAY)
Research In Motion (RIMM)
Research In Motion (RIMM)
Scottish Power (SPI)
ServiceMaster (SVM)
Sotheby’s Holdings (BID)
SRS Labs (SRSL).
Sun Microsystems (SUNW)
Sycamore Networks (SCMR)
Target (TGT)
Unisys (UIS)
Xerox (XRX)

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PortfolioCrafter - Market Commentary 9/28/05

Wednesday, September 28th, 2005

PortfolioCrafterDespite the losses on the Nasdaq, the Model Portfolio continued to prosper and reached a positive monthly return. In the last eight sessions, the Model Portfolio has outperformed the market by leaps and bounds.

Today, the Dow Jones industrial average closed up 16.88 to 10,473.09, the broader Standard & Poor’s 500 ended up 1.23 to 1,216.89, while the Nasdaq composite bucked the trend and closed down 1.02 to 2,115.40.

The market breadth was negative. On the New York Stock Exchange, on volume of 1.57 billion shares, rising shares and falling stocks were in roughly equal portions. On the Nasdaq, decliners beat advancers by 17 to 12 on volume of 1.74 billion shares. The markets continued to flip-flop with investors reacting to both positive economic data and a disconcerting report that natural-gas prices are expected to rise this winter.

The gainers on the Dow were IBM that closed up $1.51 to $79.50, Microsoft that ended up $0.33 to $25.67, Verizon Communications that closed up $0.56 to $32.41, and SBC Communications closing up $0.26 to $23.90. McDonald’s closed up 9 cents at $33.10 on a report of likely splitting of the giant into three businesses.

Some prominent decliners were Caterpillar down $1.17 or 2% to $57.55, Agco was down $0.60 or 3.1% to $18.26, Fannie Mae closed down nearly 11% on a report of new accounting violations, Delphi continued its slump by 3% down $0.10 to $2.65. Delphi slumped as the CEO has suggested filing of bankruptcy despite reports about talks with unions and possible restructuring. Apple closed down $2.36 or 4.4% to $51.08, on complains about flaws in its new iPod nano digital music player. Incyte closed down $2.97 or 41% to $4.27 on news that U.S. regulators won’t approve late-stage trials of its HIV treatment Reverset. Eastman Kodak dropped 12 cents to $24.89 on news of lower than expected earnings from digital operations.

Reports state that NRG Energy is in talks to purchase Texas plant operator Genco Holdings in a deal that could be worth more than $5 billion. This led the NRG Energu stock to close up $1.52 or 3.7% to $43.05. Paychex closed up $3.16 or 9% to $37.25, on news of better than expected quarterly earnings.

The Energy Department announced that motor-gasoline supplies in the latest week climbed unexpectedly, rising 4.4 million barrels to 199.8 million. The government also said that crude inventories fell 2.4 million barrels for the week ended Sept. 23 to total 305.7 million, and that distillate stocks declined 500,000 barrels to 133.6 million barrels.

U.S. light crude oil for November delivery closed up $1.28 or 2% to settle at $66.35 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Earlier, crude had risen as high as $67.40 a barrel. Unleaded-gasoline futures closed up 17.29 cents at $2.3393 after trading as high as $2.35, while October heating oil closed up 7.25 cents at $2.1411 after rising to $2.16 earlier.

All the best,
Manuel Jesus-Backus
The Portfolio Crafter

Cramer’s Mad Money Daily Recap 9/27/05

Tuesday, September 27th, 2005

CramersMadMoney.comWe have done our best to record Jim Cramer’s calls on his Mad Money CNBC show for you, but remember that Cramer often bangs on the sell! sell! sell!, bull roar, train wreck, suicide jump, hallelujah chorus, backing up truck, cash register, bear growl, bowling pins, and submarine diving alarm buttons all at once, while he is screaming.

Please do your own research, and verify all information before acting on it.

Bullish
Altria (MO)
AstraZeneca’s (AZN)
Boeing (BA)
Caterpillar (CAT)
Ceradyne (CRDN)
Chesapeake Energy (CHK)
Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME)
Coca-Cola (KO)
EnCana (ECA)
Energy Conversion Devices (ENER)
Energy Partners (EPL)
Fording Canadian Coal Trust (FDG)
Franklin Resources (BEN)
Genentech’s (DNA)
General Mills (GIS)
Genzyme (GENZ)
Halliburton (HAL)
Ingersoll-Rand (IR)
Ingersoll-Rand (IR)
Intel (INTC)
KeySpan (KSE)
Lennar (LEN)
Martha Stewart Living Omnimedia (MSO)
Microsoft (MSFT)
Peabody Energy (BTU)
PepsiCo (PEP)
salesforce.com (CRM)
Schering-Plough (SGP)
Schlumberger (SLB)
Sirius Satellite Radio (SIRI)
Southwestern Energy (SWN)
Unilever (UN)
United Parcel Service (UPS)
Verizon (VZ)
XM (XMSR)

Bearish
Adobe Systems (ADBE)
Anheuser-Busch (BUD)
ATI Technologies (ATYT)
Brown-Forman (BFB)
Constellation Brands (STZ)
Dendreon’s (DNDN)
EMC (EMC)
eResearch Technology (ERES)
FedEx (FDX)
Fortune Brands (FO)
GSI Commerce (GSIC)
Harrah’s Entertainment (HET)
Impac Mortgage Holdings (IMH)
Lions Gate Entertainment (LGF)
Maytag (MYG)
McDonald’s (MCD)
NeoPharm (NEOL)
Openwave Systems (OPWV)
Pier 1 Imports (PIR)
Quiksilver (ZQK)
Rambus (RMBS)
Sprint Nextel (S)
Starbucks (SBUX)

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PortfolioCrafter - Market Commentary 9/27/05

Tuesday, September 27th, 2005

PortfolioCrafterToday, the Dow Jones industrial average closed up 12.58 to 10,456.21, the Standard & Poor’s 500 was up 0.03 to 1,215.66, and the Nasdaq composite ended down 5.04 to lose 0.2% to 2,116.42.

It was a mixed day with a lot of ups and downs. Initially the investors welcomed a drop in oil prices but remained edgy in the aftermath of Hurricane Rita. However, the tone soon turned negative, following the release of the September consumer confidence report. In the afternoon the market attempted to rally as oil prices slipped and Alan Greenspan’s afternoon speech proved unsurprising. However, the rally was short-lived, and stocks ended the session mixed.

The market breadth remained negative. On the New York Stock Exchange, losers beat winners by 18 to 13 on volume of 1.49 billion shares. On the Nasdaq, decliners edged advancers 16 to 13 on volume of 1.64 billion shares.

The biggest gainer on Dow was Boeing Co. that closed up $1.88 or almost 3% at $66.55, on news of a tentative agreement with its machinists union that could end a strike by more than 18,000 workers. Other gainers on the Dow included General Electric up $0.37 to $33.64, and Philip Morris that ended up $0.97 to $73.49. Pepsi Bottling Group Inc. gained 3% to $28.46. The company reported third-quarter net income of $205 million which is a 7% improvement over last year.

The stock that lost big today was Taser International Inc. It ended almost 13% lower at $6.35 after announcing that a previously disclosed inquiry into the company by the Securities and Exchange Commission has now been deemed formal. Auto parts maker Delphi also continued its recent slide, dropping 8% to $2.75.

On news of Buy Out, stock of Health insurer WellChoice Inc. rose up $4.91 or 6.6% to $75.27. WellPoint is buying it for $6.5 billion in cash and stock. WellPoint shares rose 13 cents to $75.22.

Three stocks were downgraded by banks to “Neutral” from “Overweight.” This led to the slide of Cypress Semiconductor by $0.52 to $14.03, Fairchild Semiconductor International down by $0.92 to $14.43, and ON Semiconductor closed down $0.30 to $4.74.

News on a slump in new home sales by the Commerce Department by 9.9% in August to a seasonally adjusted 1.24 million had an adverse effect on homebuilders. This is against the expected sales of 1.34 million units. Lennar closed down $0.07 to $57.00.

U.S. light crude oil for November delivery dropped 75 cents to settle at $65.07 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Traders continue to struggle to figure out the extent of damage to energy facilities caused by recent hurricanes.

All the best,
Manuel Jesus-Backus
The Portfolio Crafter

Cramer’s Mad Money Daily Recap 9/26/05

Monday, September 26th, 2005

CramersMadMoney.comWe have done our best to record Jim Cramer’s calls on his Mad Money CNBC show for you, but remember that Cramer often bangs on the sell! sell! sell!, bull roar, train wreck, suicide jump, hallelujah chorus, backing up truck, cash register, bear growl, bowling pins, and submarine diving alarm buttons all at once, while he is screaming.

Please do your own research, and verify all information before acting on it.

Bullish
Allscripts Healthcare Solutions (MDRX)
Best Buy (BBY)
Caterpillar (CAT)
Chesapeake Energy (CHK)
Coley Pharmaceutical Group (COLY)
Cummins (CMI)
Foster Wheeler (FWLT)
Global Signal (GSL)
Google (GOOG)
Hain Celestial Group (HAIN)
Ingersoll-Rand (IR)
IntraLase (ILSE)
JDSU (JDSU)
Motorola (MOT)
NGAS Resources (NGAS)
Parker-Hannifin (PH)
Pike Electric (PEC) (Stock of the Week)
Pioneer Drilling (PDC)
Powerwave Technologies (PWAV)
Qualcomm (QCOM)
SanDisk (SNDK)
Shanda Interactive Entertainment (SNDA)
T. Rowe Price Group (TROW)
TreeHouse Foods (THS)
Vulcan Materials (VMC)
Walgreen (WAG)
Whole Foods Market (WFMI)
Wild Oats Markets (OATS).
Yahoo! (YHOO)

Bearish
3M (MMM)
Andrew (ANDW)
Avocent (AVCT)
Biovail (BVF)
Calpine (CPN)
Celestica (CLS)
Click Commerce (CKCM)
Conn’s (CONN)
Corning (GLW)
Dendreon (DNDN)
Flextronics (FLEX)
Ionatron (IOTN)
KongZhong (KONG)
Nokia (NOK)
Oracle (ORCL)
Solectron (SLR)
TOP Tankers (TOPT)

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Wall Street Traders Column 9/26/05 - Buy EMR

Monday, September 26th, 2005

WSTraders.comBuy Alert - EMERSON ELECTRIC CO (EMR - NYSE ) Report No. 2137, Analysis by Harry Aloof - Technical Viewpoint - From a low of $65.63 on Aug 31, 2005 prices rallied, reaching a high of $68.80 on Sep 8, 2005. A decline saw prices pull back, reaching a low of $66.26 on Sep 15, 2005. Another rally saw prices penetrate resistance line “A”, closing 9/23/05 at $69.61. Technicals: MACD Index (MACD): A Buy Alert! was given on Sep 23, 2005 (study not shown) when the solid line crossed the dotted line to the upside. Support: Remains at $66.00. Resistance: Is at None at current levels. Point & Figure: Reversed to the upside on Sep 23, 2005. A P&F downside reversal takes place at $66.00. Summary: Technical indicators have turned bullish. BUY! EMERSON ELECTRIC CO (EMR-NYSE) @ $70.13 Stop: Use a protective stop of $67.63. EMERSON ELECTRIC CO is currently trading @ $69.61 plus $1.85 on Sep 23, 2005. Price Objective: $82.50. Risk/Reward: $2.50 VS. $12.37. Today’s Risk Reward Ratio: 5:1

View current report with technical chart analysis